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This is an old SARS blog no longer being updated. It includes:
(i) independent statistical analysis
(ii) reporting of SARS in Singapore,
(iii) the occasional oddball article, and
a search engine for the Singapore MOH SARS pages not available at that site.

  Search the Singapore MOH SARS page

  
 

Thursday, May 22, 2003



More on the young deaths...

sht_deaths.gif (12435 bytes)

This is the same graph as the one below with Hong Kong data added in. Hong Kong appears in the middle between SGP and TO. The HK data is "smoother" because there are more data points (ie more deaths). I've also added some transparency to the HK data so you can see that at the top end, there are more HK cases than Canadian cases (ie more cases over the age of 80).

Because of the number of cases, the HK data probably paints a more accurate depiction of the death toll of SARS.

Yet again, the Singapore numbers are alarmingly "young" giving rise to many questions: Is there a different virus in Singapore (a different strain)? Is the pattern of transmission different? Is treatment in Singapore less effective or inappropriate for younger victims?

The data does suggest that if you get SARS then Canada is the best place to be to get proper care... unless of course they simply had an unusual number of old people getting the virus.

One thought that pops to mind: has Singaporean's overuse of antibiotics had some negative effect on their immune systems such that they cannot cope as well with this virus? At least one of the young fatalities was not a Singapore national (a Philippino nurse) so this might nto be the answer...

 



The Excel Datasheet has been updated with 22nd May WHO figures.

 

Wednesday, May 21, 2003



Why are so many young people dying in Singapore?
Here's a graph of the deaths in Singapore and Toronto with Singapore in the foreground. Age is on the left axis. Blue & pink represent male and female victims.

sgto_deaths.gif (9097 bytes)

The average age of deaths in Singapore is significantly younger... WHY? Yesterday the 5th person under the age of 30 died of SARS in Singapore. Yet in Canada there is only one case under the age of 40. This is very worrying.

 



The Excel Datasheet has been updated with 21st May WHO figures.

 

Tuesday, May 20, 2003



The Excel Datasheet has been updated with 20th May WHO figures.

 

Monday, May 19, 2003



The Excel Datasheet has been updated with 19th May WHO figures.

Who's Bucking the trend?

trendbuckeroo.gif (5921 bytes)

newsarscases.gif (6608 bytes)

 

 

 

 
Miss Bossy was here.